To be fair to solar and wind power, I performed a similar analysis on the same model except this time we kept solar and wind usage constant while increasing the use of nuclear power by 25%. Oil and coal usage were each reduced 10% and natural gas usage was reduced 5% (same as in the previous model analysis of increasing wind and solar energy usage). Below are the results solving for CO2 emissions in our atmosphere and the annual and five year average of global temperatures.
| CO2 | | | | | | |
| R Square | 1 | | | | | |
| SE | 6.20E-01 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| Coefficients | Coefficient Value | Value | CO2 Levels | | Ave | CO2 Levels |
| Intercept | 391.7 | 1.00E+00 | 3.92E+02 | | 1.00E+00 | 391.7 |
| Coal KWH1 | -7.136 | 1.48E+00 | -1.06E+01 | | 9.00E-01 | -6.4224 |
| NG KWH1 | 0.4164 | 4.71E+00 | 1.96E+00 | | 3.10E+00 | 1.29084 |
| Oil KWH1 | -4.139 | 1.85E+00 | -7.66E+00 | | 1.15E+00 | -4.75985 |
| NP KWH1 | 29.63 | 2.30E-01 | 6.81E+00 | | 7.00E-01 | 20.741 |
| Hydro KWH1 | 5.829 | 3.67E-01 | 2.14E+00 | | 3.67E-01 | 2.139243 |
| Geo KWH1 | 25.52 | 9.20E-02 | 2.35E+00 | | 9.20E-02 | 2.34784 |
| Solar KWh1 | -41.16 | 4.17E-02 | -1.72E+00 | | 4.17E-02 | -1.716372 |
| Wind KWH1 | 41.13 | 1.43E-01 | 5.88E+00 | | 1.43E-01 | 5.88159 |
| CO2 GDP | -0.05882 | 5.10E+02 | -3.00E+01 | | 4.80E+02 | -28.2336 |
| CO2 GDP1 | -0.001466 | 4.16E+02 | -6.10E-01 | | 3.90E+02 | -0.57174 |
| USP | -7.274 | 1.80E-01 | -1.31E+00 | | 1.70E-01 | -1.23658 |
| Energy Cost | 1.29 | 1.00E+01 | 1.29E+01 | | 8.00E+00 | 10.32 |
| Biomass KWH1 | 11.45 | 3.21E-01 | 3.68E+00 | | 3.21E-01 | 3.67545 |
| Energy ConsP | 8.67E-08 | 9.46E+07 | 8.20E+00 | | 1.10E+08 | 9.53832 |
| Temp | 3.437 | 7.00E-01 | 2.41E+00 | | 1.00E+00 | 3.437 |
| Temp1 | 6.772 | 6.50E-01 | 4.40E+00 | | 7.50E-01 | 5.079 |
| Result | | | 3.91E+02 | | | 413.209741 |
| Temp5 | | |||||
| R Square | 0.99 | |||||
| SE | 3.00E-02 | |||||
| | ||||||
| Coefficients | Coefficient Value | Value | Temperature | | Ave | Temperature |
| Intercept | -23.22 | 1.00E+00 | -2.32E+01 | | 1.00E+00 | -23.22 |
| Coal KWH1 | 3.359 | 1.48E+00 | 4.97E+00 | | 9.00E-01 | 3.0231 |
| NG KWH1 | 1.007 | 4.71E+00 | 4.74E+00 | | 3.10E+00 | 3.1217 |
| Oil KWH1 | 1.93 | 1.85E+00 | 3.57E+00 | | 1.15E+00 | 2.2195 |
| NP KWH1 | 8.649 | 2.30E-01 | 1.99E+00 | | 7.00E-01 | 6.0543 |
| Hydro KWH1 | 1.534 | 3.67E-01 | 5.63E-01 | | 3.67E-01 | 0.562978 |
| Geo KWH1 | 0.1988 | 9.20E-02 | 1.83E-02 | | 9.20E-02 | 0.0182896 |
| Solar KWh1 | 3.739 | 4.17E-02 | 1.56E-01 | | 4.17E-02 | 0.1559163 |
| Wind KWH1 | 2.843 | 1.43E-01 | 4.07E-01 | | 1.43E-01 | 0.406549 |
| CO2 GDP | -0.000432 | 5.10E+02 | -2.20E-01 | | 4.80E+02 | -0.20736 |
| CO2 GDP1 | 0.0002631 | 4.16E+02 | 1.09E-01 | | 3.90E+02 | 0.102609 |
| USP | -2.602 | 1.80E-01 | -4.68E-01 | | 1.70E-01 | -0.44234 |
| Energy Cost | -0.102 | 1.00E+01 | -1.02E+00 | | 8.00E+00 | -0.816 |
| Biomass KWH1 | 1.463 | 3.21E-01 | 4.70E-01 | | 3.21E-01 | 0.469623 |
| Energy ConsP | 2.80E-08 | 9.46E+07 | 2.65E+00 | | 1.10E+08 | 3.07571 |
| CO2 | 0.01546 | 3.90E+02 | 6.03E+00 | | 4.15E+02 | 6.4159 |
| Temp | -0.09777 | 7.00E-01 | -6.84E-02 | | 1.00E+00 | -0.09777 |
| Result | | | 6.74E-01 | | | 0.8427049 |
| Temp | | | | | | |
| R Square | 0.92 | | | | | |
| SE | 9.50E-02 | | | | | |
| | | | | | | |
| Coefficients | Coefficient Value | Value | Temperature | | Ave | Temperature |
| Intercept | -71.98 | 1.00E+00 | -7.20E+01 | | 1.00E+00 | -71.98 |
| Coal KWH1 | 9.077 | 1.48E+00 | 1.34E+01 | | 9.00E-01 | 8.1693 |
| NG KWH1 | 2.671 | 4.71E+00 | 1.26E+01 | | 3.10E+00 | 8.2801 |
| Oil KWH1 | 4.071 | 1.85E+00 | 7.53E+00 | | 1.15E+00 | 4.68165 |
| NP KWH1 | 21.33 | 2.30E-01 | 4.91E+00 | | 7.00E-01 | 14.931 |
| Hydro KWH1 | 3.985 | 3.67E-01 | 1.46E+00 | | 3.67E-01 | 1.462495 |
| Geo KWH1 | -4.161 | 9.20E-02 | -3.83E-01 | | 9.20E-02 | -0.382812 |
| Solar KWh1 | 4.266 | 4.17E-02 | 1.78E-01 | | 4.17E-02 | 0.1778922 |
| Wind KWH1 | 4.449 | 1.43E-01 | 6.36E-01 | | 1.43E-01 | 0.636207 |
| CO2 GDP | 0.005277 | 5.10E+02 | 2.69E+00 | | 4.80E+02 | 2.53296 |
| CO2 GDP1 | -0.0009683 | 4.16E+02 | -4.03E-01 | | 3.90E+02 | -0.377637 |
| USP | -5.521 | 1.80E-01 | -9.94E-01 | | 1.70E-01 | -0.93857 |
| Energy Cost | -0.2749 | 1.00E+01 | -2.75E+00 | | 8.00E+00 | -2.1992 |
| Biomass KWH1 | 2.388 | 3.21E-01 | 7.67E-01 | | 3.21E-01 | 0.766548 |
| Energy ConsP | 2.05E-08 | 9.46E+07 | 1.94E+00 | | 1.10E+08 | 2.25786 |
| CO2 | 0.0813 | 3.90E+02 | 3.17E+01 | | 4.15E+02 | 33.7395 |
| Temp5 | -1.013 | 6.50E-01 | -6.58E-01 | | 7.50E-01 | -0.75975 |
| Result | | | 6.68E-01 | | | 0.9975432 |
These results indicate that carbon emissions in our atmosphere will increase to over 410 parts per million and global temperatures will increase dramatically from around 0.7 degrees to .85 and 1 degree respectively for the 5 year average and the annual reading. In other words, moving to an energy plan using more nuclear power will do very little to combat the current trends of increasing CO2 emissions and global temperatures. This would be expected since this analysis is just a very small percentage of the overall global energy consumption. The overall analysis of consuming more nuclear energy will be completed tomorrow.
My Book: Is America Dying? (Amazon.com, Barnes and Noble)
No comments:
Post a Comment