Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Benign Fasciculation Syndrome (Part I)

The following multipart article / research paper has nothing to do with politics. It is about a neurological disorder I suffer from so I wrote the following statistical analysis of the disorder. I have not had any luck getting the paper published, but will continue to try as our sample size in the survey of people with this disorder approaches 250 people. I hope to bring attention to the disorder.

ABSTRACT:

The purpose of this paper is to explore the statistical relationship between Benign Fasciculation Syndrome (BFS) symptoms, body areas affected by BFS, the potential causes of BFS, and potential remedies for BFS.

The method used was to collect data from a survey. Data was obtained from 161 people. Of the 161 (9 outliers) a total of 152 have been diagnosed with BFS. The data was modeled using a linear regression analysis to determine if there is statistical significance between symptoms, potential causes or triggers, body areas affected by BFS, and potential remedies.

The results from this data (Tables 1 through 7) show it is possible to identify nine unique forms of BFS that stem from a variety of triggers. Each BFS form has its own set of unique symptoms, conditions that make symptoms worse, and remedies that appear to work best.

To conclude, this paper will combat the fallacies about survey usefulness and accuracy and highlight inadequacies of controlled studies, clinical trials, and patient observation. Although BFS symptoms, on average, remain the same for BFS sufferers - only those sufferers whose trigger is stress related can significantly reduce symptoms over time. Many people who suffer from BFS claim multiple triggers have brought forth BFS symptoms. Their symptoms reflect a cross between different forms of BFS. For this reason, we speculate that it would be difficult to find a single cure for BFS.

INTRODUCTION:

Defining and understanding neurological disorders can be medically challenging. Benign Fasciculation Syndrome (BFS) is a disorder characterized by fasciculation or muscle twitching of unexplained causes. Other BFS symptoms may include muscle fatigue, cramps, pins and needles sensations, paraesthsia, muscle vibrations, headaches, itching, sensitivity to temperatures, numbness, muscle stiffness, muscle soreness and pain. [1] BFS is considered to be a disorder of Peripheral Nerve Hyperexcitability (PNH). BFS or PNH causes are not entirely understood. Some theories state that the cause of BFS or PNH may involve the potassium channel of the nerve terminal's inability to properly close its gates when a motor nerve impulse reaches the nerve terminal, resulting in a still-remaining active muscle fiber. [2] This imbalance is what causes involuntary impulses that consequently stimulate the nerve endings causing them to fire and twitch. [1,3,4]

OBJECTIVE:

Like many neurological disorders, there is no known cure for BFS. While this disorder is considered “benign” it contains symptoms that are very real and in some cases both psychologically and physically debilitating. [5] This is primarily due to the chronic and progressive nature of the disorder in some individuals. Most neurologists and doctors will tell chronic BFS sufferers that their symptoms are “no big deal”. This is a misconception about the disorder. The statistical analysis of BFS from our survey proves that symptoms in many people are chronic (high frequency and intensity) and progressive. One study claims that up to 1% of the population may suffer from BFS. [6] BFS for most people is benign and insignificant (no big deal), but those individuals with chronic symptoms 24/7, BFS can wreak havoc on their lives. Chronic BFS sufferers are prone to dealing with anxiety since their early onset symptoms are similar to other crippling disorders such as Parkinson’s disease, Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS), Multiple Sclerosis (MS), and even brain tumors. Because of their symptoms, BFS patients often have undergone advanced medical testing including Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) performed on the brain as well as an Electromyography (EMG) to rule out other neurological disorders. [1] Based on a Microsoft Research Study conducted by White and Horvitz, there is a .50 probability that a quick internet search on “muscle twitching” leads them to sites related to ALS. Needless to say this causes a great deal of distress for the individual knowing the relationship of twitching and ALS. In fact, some fairly recent studies have cited rare cases of individuals who started with twitching and cramping symptoms and later developed ALS years later. [7] While these cases are extremely rare, the knowledge of them can cause continual anxiety in the chronic BFS sufferer.

Chronic BFS sufferers have similar symptoms to other neurological disorders including Neuromyotonia (NMT), Benign Cramp Fasciculation Syndrome (BCFS), fibromyalgia, Reflex Sympathetic Dystrophy (RSD), stiff person syndrome, continuous muscle fiber activity, continuous motor nerve discharges, and Isaac Syndrome, usually differentiated by an EMG. [1] For this reason many remedies attempted to relieve BFS symptoms are exactly the same as those remedies used for NMT, BCFS, RSD and other neurological disorders. [1] At this time there is no evidence that BFS sufferers are any more likely to acquire other more serious neurological disorders, such as ALS or MS, than any person without BFS. [4]

If BFS is “no big deal” in the eyes of most neurologists, then why do people with BFS go through advanced medical testing and take powerful medications such as anti-seizure, anti-depressant, sleeping pills, benzodiazepines, muscle relaxants and other strong medications to relieve symptoms? The answer is because there are people with extreme chronic cases of BFS.

What is being hypothesized in this study is that due to the unique symptoms of people afflicted with BFS, there may be variants to BFS. The objective was to identify the different types of BFS from various triggers in order to better understand the illness and its potential remedies.

Monday, July 30, 2012

Rules to Live By

Live by the golden rule to treat others the way you expect to be treated.

Be compassionate by placing yourself in someone else’s shoes.

Do not judge the experiences of others unless you have lived those experiences yourself.

Live well within your means and be fiscally responsible.

Do not accumulate credit card debt.

Do not follow the concept of “keeping up with Jones’s”.

Lead by example, anyone can be a follower.

Do not play the blame game; be accountable and responsible for your actions.

Do not complain about anything without being informed to offer ideas and solutions.

Do not be afraid to make changes or take risks.

Do not tolerate waste, inefficiency, and bureaucracy.

Eat right and exercise regularly.

Do not be a workaholic; spend quality time with your family.

Treat others with respect and dignity.

Do not be a quitter.

You should always be working to be a better person.

You should always be learning.

Be decisive and do not sit on the fence.

Never use electronic gadgets when you drive.

Set goals, achieve them, and most importantly attain them.

Do not be deceitful.

Do not be a pessimist or overly optimistic, be a realist.

Speak you mind in a direct and honest matter.

Do not be a back stabber.

Keep promises.

Help others in need, be charitable.

Do not be a hypocrite.

Listen to others.

Don’t be ignorant and biased, understand both sides of issues.

Don’t be a sore winner or loser.

Don’t take credit for something you did not do, but do own up to mistakes and errors.

Make a positive impact on society.

Remember it is seldom about me, myself, or I.

Do not be a know it all.

Learn from your mistakes.

Do not be afraid to fail.

Never be satisfied with past successes.

Do not live in the past, look to the future.

Do not be offended easily and demand political correctness.

Be open to constructive criticism.

Be ethical and do not brownnose.

Use not only intellect, but commonsense to solve problems.

Think outside of the box.

Don’t hide behind your gender, ethnicity, or religion.

Don’t be ordinary.

Eliminate barriers, don’t build them.

Mind your own business.

Invent something.

Do something that is rare and has not be done.

Travel.

Volunteer.

Don’t live off the success of others.

Write your life story.

Hold others accountable.

Be happy and remember money does not always equate to happiness.

Remember how individuals handle adversity will define their personality for the better or for the worse.

Be open minded and avoid being shallow.

Maintain a sense of humor.

Never start something you do not plan to finish.

Do not become a creature of habit, instead become unpredictable.

Do not become greedy or needy.

Keep your ego in check.

Be passionate about what you do.

Have a hobby.

What are some rules you live by?

Sunday, July 29, 2012

Obama’s Lowlights (7/30/12)

ObamaCare – A CNN report claims under the employer mandate, businesses with 50 or more full-time employees have to provide coverage or pay a $2,000 penalty for every worker minus the first 30. Growing businesses have discovered that expanding their workforce beyond 50 fulltime workers is simply too burdensome. In order to survive, many of these companies will have to either scale back the hours of existing employees so that they are no longer classified as fulltime or let them go altogether.

Chuck Schumer – While discussing the Disclosure Act, Schumer said there should be limits to the first amendment. These are the same Democrats that pushed for the first amendment to also cover freedom of expression so it is legal to burn the American Flag. They made their bed, they should sleep in it.

Filibuster – Harry Reid, the Senate Majority Leader, is now openly promising to pass filibuster reform in the beginning of the next Congress if Democrats manage to hold onto a simple majority in the Senate and if Obama is reelected.

Navy Seals – Former members of Team Six have formed a Super PAC to take down Obama claiming he took credit for the Osama Bin Laden killing for political gain. “The President has failed and he is jeopardizing the safety of our troops, their families and our National security for political gain. Obama has exposed the identity of special operations units, leaked classified information, and limited the rules of engagement of forces on the ground,” said Mr. Zinke. “For those who have taken an oath to defend the Constitution against all enemies, both foreign and domestic, it is a call of duty to take back America from a Commander-in-Chief that is incapable of understanding the sacrifices that have been made for the values that have made America great.”

Jobs - President Barack Obama’s Jobs Council hasn’t met publicly for six months because the President claims he is too busy. However, apparently not busy enough to skip a golf outing though.

Steny Hoyer - House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said Tuesday that food stamps and unemployment insurance are the two "most stimulative" things you can do for the economy.

DOE – The Department of Energy was given 2 billion dollars in stimulus funds to spend on battery making companies, but the department admits to misplacing about a half million dollars in this program.

TSA – Twenty-Five illegal aliens have attended flight school since a “weakness” in TSA’s Alien Flight Student Program, noted by GAO, is that it does not check for immigration status.

Romney’s Taxes - Facing questions about why she and other top Congressional officials won’t release their tax returns, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) downplayed her previous demands for presumptive GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney to release his, calling the issue a distraction

Harry Reid - If solar panel production at the Amonix’s Nevada facility permanently ceases, it could prove awkward for Harry Reid, who touted the “permanent green jobs” that the Amonix business supposedly represented. The company laid off 200 employees in January.

Ford - Ford Motor Co. is telling owners of one version of the brand-new Ford Escape not to drive the SUVs until dealers can fix fuel lines that can crack and spill gasoline, causing engine fires.

Aurora CO Shooting – “The Colorado Tea Party Patriots and the Tea Party Patriots are saddened to hear of the death and wounding of theater goers in Aurora, Colorado. The member of the Colorado Tea Party Patriots, Jim Holmes, age 52 is not the same person who has been identified as the shooter. The attempts of some media organizations to characterize the shooter as a Tea Party member without having made any effort to contact our organization are shameless and reprehensible.”

Syria - Russia and China vetoed a UN Security Council resolution on Syria for the third time, sparking outrage by the Western nations which demanded sanctions against President Bashar al-Assad. 

Olympics - Olympic officials are wondering if McDonald's should continue sponsoring the Olympics. Health campaigners have attacked the London games for its links with the fast-food restaurant and brands such as Coca-Cola that they say contribute to obesity.

Thursday, July 26, 2012

2012 Election Polls and Models (7/27/12)

Below are poll averages (from Real Clear Politics) for Presidential, Gubernatorial, Senate, and contested House seats. A positive poll average favors the Republican candidate whereas a negative poll average favors the Democratic candidate. From the poll averages a ranking and probability are calculated for each race. A probability above 0.5 (50%) favors the Republican candidate whereas a probability under 0.5 favors the Democratic candidate. The higher ranking, the higher the probability the race will go to the Republican candidate. The lower the ranking, the higher the probability the race will go to the Democratic candidate. Since polling in House races are not very accurate, the formula to calculate the probability is more complex taking into account race ratings by the Cook, Election Projection, and Sabato political reports as well as generic congressional polling results and PVI (Partisan Voting Index). A positive PVI means the percentage of registered Republicans in the district outnumbers registered Democrats whereas a negative PVI means the percentage of registered Democrats in the district outnumbers registered Republicans. The overall probability for the President, Senate, Gubernatorial, and House races are computed to project the number of seats (including the presidency) that are going to be won by Republicans and Democrats respectively. Race candidates will be filled in to the below tables once they are determined by state primaries. I will update and post this information regularly. Below is an overall summary of the predicted outcomes based on probability density function models.

Presidential Electoral Vote: Obama 315; Republican 220 (R +48), Obama at 58.6% of winning the election.

Governor Races: Current - Republicans 29; Democrats 19 (2 Independents); Projection - Republicans 33; Democrats 17 (including 2 Independents)

Senate Races: Current - Republicans 47; Democrats 53 (Including 2 Independents); Projection - Republicans 51; Democrats 49 (Including 2 Independents)

House Races: Current - Republicans 242; Democrats 193; Projection: Republicans 238; Democrats 197;

Below is an overall summary of the predicted outcomes based solely on election polls:

Presidential Electoral Vote: Obama 315; Republican 220

Governor Races: Republicans 31; Democrats 17 (2 Independents)

Senate Races: Republicans 50; Democrats 50 (Including 2 Independents)

House Races: Republicans 239; Democrats 196

Presidential Race

State

Democrat Electoral Vote

Republican Electoral Vote

Poll

Rank

Probability

Weighted Probability

Alabama

9

15

3

0.891125

6.237874714

Alaska

3

0

15

0.5

0.5

Arizona

11

6.8

11

0.7118332

6.406499053

Arkansas

6

0

15

0.5

2

California

55

-17.2

47

0.0787831

4.175505373

Colorado

9

-2.9

34

0.4058282

2.840797445

Connecticut

7

-12

44

0.1620601

0.810300486

DC

3

0

15

0.5

0.5

Florida

0

29

-1.1

30

0.4639903

12.52773922

Georgia

16

10

6

0.7943729

11.12122098

Hawaii

4

0

15

0.5

1

Idaho

4

0

15

0.5

1

Illinois

20

0

15

0.5

9

Indiana

11

9

7

0.7702043

6.931838454

Iowa

6

-1.3

32

0.4574661

1.829864325

Kansas

6

0

15

0.5

2

Kentucky

8

0

15

0.5

3

Louisiana

8

0

15

0.5

3

Massachusetts

11

-19.2

48

0.0573239

0.515915324

Maine

4

-15.4

46

0.1028639

0.205727813

Maryland

10

0

15

0.5

4

Michigan

16

-1.5

33

0.4509533

6.313345691

Minnesota

10

-10.5

42

0.1941311

1.553049069

Mississippi

6

0

15

0.5

2

Missouri

10

3

13

0.5973549

4.778839559

Montana

3

7

8

0.7174159

0.717415901

Nebraska

5

13

5

0.8572838

2.571851287

Nevada

6

-5.2

37

0.3345884

1.338353601

New Hampshire

4

-5.3

38

0.3316016

0.663203196

New Jersey

14

-15.3

45

0.1043436

1.252123036

New Mexico

5

-10.7

43

0.1896446

0.568933731

New York

29

-26

49

0.0163238

0.440742708

North Carolina

15

0

0.4

14

0.5131099

6.670428604

North Dakota

3

14

4

0.875003

0.875003019

Ohio

18

-4.3

35

0.361922

5.790751845

Oklahoma

7

35

2

0.9979857

4.98992839

Oregon

7

-6

39

0.3110016

1.555008216

Pennsylvania

20

-7.4

40

0.2715773

4.888391392

Rhode Island

4

0

15

0.5

1

South Carolina

9

0

15

0.5

3.5

South Dakota

3

0

15

0.5

0.5

Tennessee

11

7

8

0.7174159

6.456743105

Texas

38

7

8

0.7174159

25.82697242

Utah

6

40

1

0.9994933

3.997973016

Vermont

3

-31

50

0.005429

0.005429019

Virginia

13

-1.2

31

0.4607269

5.067995788

Washington

12

-10.2

41

0.200981

2.009809881

West Virginia

5

0

15

0.5

1.5

Wisconsin

10

-4.8

36

0.346639

2.773111881

Wyoming

3

6

12

0.6889984

0.688998357

0

Total

315

220

12.1701

0.4731438

0.413557899

Governor Races

State

Democrat

Republican

Poll

Rank

Probability

Incumbent

Delaware

Markell

0

6

0.5

-1

Indiana

Gregg

Pence

13

2

0.8771854

1

Kentucky

Beshear

0

6

0.5

-1

Missouri

Nixon

Spence

-11

12

0.1629487

-1

Montana

Bullock

Hill

0

6

0.5

-1

New Hampshire

Cilley

Lamontagne

0.3

5

0.5106876

-1

North Carolina

Dalton

McCrory

5

3

0.6724002

Gain

-1

North Dakota

Taylor

Dalrymple

35

1

0.9991136

1

Utah

Herbert

0

6

0.5

1

Vermont

Shumlin

0

6

0.5

-1

Washington

McKena

Inslee

2.5

4

0.5883394

Gain

-1

West Virginia

Tomblin

Maloney

0

6

0.5

-1

0

11.1969

0.5675562

Senate Races

State

Democrat

Republican

Poll

Rank

Probability

Incumbent

Arizona

Carmona

Flake

7.4

3

0.7535015

1

California

Feinstein

Emken

-17.5

31

0.0524838

-1

Connecticut

Murphy

Shays

-3.3

23

0.3799096

-1

Delaware

Carper

0

11

0.5

-1

Florida

Nelson

Mack

-1.4

21

0.4484024

-1

Hawaii

Hirono

Lingle

-13

28

0.1142282

-1

Indiana

Donnelly

Mourdock

21

1

0.9741414

1

Massachusetts

Warren

Brown

0.2

10

0.5073913

1

Maine

Dill

Summers

0

11

0.5

Gain

Independent King Leads

1

Michigan

Stabenow

Hoekstra

-12

26

0.133133

-1

Minnesota

Klobuchar

Bills

-25

32

0.0102778

-1

Mississippi

Gore

Wicker

0

11

0.5

1

Missouri

McCaskill

Steelman

6

7.5

0.7108437

Gain

-1

Maryland

Cardin

Bongino

0

10

0.5

-1

Montana

Tester

Rehberg

-1.5

21

0.4447398

-1

Nebraska

Kerrey

Ficsher

14

2

0.9026821

Gain

-1

Nevada

Berkley

Heller

4.2

7

0.6513974

1

New York

Gillibrand

Turner

-35.5

33

0.0005031

-1

New Jersey

Menendez

Kyrillos

-12.3

27

0.1272483

-1

New Mexico

Heinrich

Wilson

-5.5

24

0.3051903

-1

North Dakota

Heitkamp

Berg

5

6

0.6783929

-1

Ohio

Brown

Mandel

-9

25

0.2022033

-1

Pennsylvania

Casey

Smith

-15.8

30

0.0716323

-1

Rhode Island

Whitehouse

0

11

0.5

-1

Tennessee

Corker

0

11

0.5

1

Texas

Hutchison

0

11

0.5

1

Utah

Hatch

0

11

0.5

1

Vermont

Sanders

0

11

0.5

-1

Virginia

Kaine

Allen

0.3

9

0.5110862

Gain

-1

Washington

Cantwell

Baumgartner

-13.5

29

0.1055283

-1

West Virginia

Manchin

Raese

0

11

0.5

-1

Wisconsin

Baldwin

Thompson

6.6

4

0.7295447

Gain

-1

Wyoming

Barrasso

1

8

0.536906

1

0

10.7943

0.4348899

House Races

State

Democrat

Republican

Poll

PVI

Cook

Sabato

Election Projection

AVE

Rank

Probability

Arkansas 1

Crawford

0

7

10

10

15

8.4

33

0.8824964

Arkansas 2

Griffin

0

5

15

15

15

10

11

0.9212839

Arkansas 4

Jeffress

Cotton

0

8

10

15

15

9.6

17

0.9126428

Arizona 1

Gosar

0

3

0

-5

-5

-1.4

82

0.4215513

Arizona 5

Schweikert

0

5

15

15

15

10

11

0.9212839

Arizona 2

Giffords

0

3

-10

-5

-5

-3.4

92

0.3153725

Arizona 9

Barber

0

0

-5

-5

-5

-3

88

0.3357362

California 3

Garamendi

Vann

0

-1

-10

-10

-10

-6.2

108

0.1903706

California 7

Bera

Lungren

0

3

0

0

-5

-0.4

79

0.4774517

California 9

McNerney

Gill

0

-2

-5

-5

-5

-3.4

92

0.3153725

California 10

Hernandez

Denham

0

5

5

5

5

4

57

0.7141346

California 16

Costa

0

-2

-10

-10

-15

-7.4

111

0.1477383

California 21

Hernandez

Valadao

0

3

10

10

10

6.6

47

0.8246112

California 23

McCarthy

0

18

15

15

15

12.6

1

0.9625714

California 24

Capps

Maldonado

0

-3

-5

-5

-5

-3.6

94

0.3053923

California 26

Brownley

Strickland

0

-3

0

0

5

0.4

76

0.5225483

California 31

Miller

0

-2

15

15

15

8.6

30

0.8879759

California 36

Bono Mack

0

3

10

10

15

7.6

39

0.8586913

California 41

Takano

Tavaglione

0

-3

-5

-5

-5

-3.6

94

0.3053923

California 47

Lowenthal

DeLong

0

-5

-10

-5

-10

-6

107

0.1981476

California 52

Peters

Bilbray

0

-1

0

0

5

0.8

75

0.5450247

Colorado 3

Pace

Tipton

0

4

5

5

5

3.8

60

0.7044453

Colorado 4

Gardner

0

6

15

15

15

10.2

7

0.9253538

Colorado 6

Miklosi

Coffman

0

1

0

5

5

2.2

68

0.6221101

Connecticut 5

Murphy

McMahon

-3

-2

-10

-5

-10

-5.7

104

0.2101666

Florida 2

Southerland

0

4

5

10

5

4.8

54

0.7513059

Florida 9

Grayson

Buchanan

0

-3

0

-5

-5

-2.6

86

0.3565941

Florida 26

Rivera

0

4

15

15

5

7.8

38

0.8649285

Florida 10

Webster

0

7

10

10

15

8.4

33

0.8824964

Florida 13

Young

0

1

10

15

15

8.2

36

0.8768297

Florida 16

Fitzgerald

0

5

10

5

10

6

51

0.8018524

Florida 18

West

0

1

0

5

5

2.2

67

0.6221101

Florida 7

Adams

0

4

15

15

15

9.8

16

0.9170479

Florida 22

Hasner

0

-5

-5

-5

-5

-4

100

0.2858654

Georgia 12

Barrow

0

10

5

5

5

5

53

0.7601795

Illinois 8

Duckworth

Walsh

0

-5

-10

-10

-10

-7

110

0.1611769

Illinois 10

Schneider

Dold

0

-8

-5

-5

-5

-4.6

101

0.2577396

Illinois 11

Foster

Biggert

0

-6

0

-5

-5

-3.2

90

0.3254892

Illinois 12

Harriman

Plummer

0

-2

0

0

-5

-1.4

82

0.4215513

Illinois 13

Gill

Davis

0

-1

5

5

5

2.8

64

0.6538932

Illinois 17

Bustos

Schilling

0

-6

0

-5

-5

-3.2

90

0.3254892

Indiana 2

Mullen

Walorski

0

7

5

5

5

4.4

55

0.733047

Indiana 8

Bucshon

0

7

10

10

15

8.4

33

0.8824964

Iowa 1

Braley

0

-5

-10

-10

-15

-8

115

0.1290258

Iowa 2

Loebsack

0

-4

-10

-10

-15

-7.8

112

0.1350715

Iowa 3

Boswell

Latham

0

1

0

5

5

2.2

67

0.6221101

Iowa 4

Vilsack

King

0

4

5

5

5

3.8

60

0.7044453

Kentucky 6

Chandler

Barr

-5

9

-5

-5

-15

-3.7

98

0.3004553

Maine 2

Michaud

Raye

-12

-3

-10

-10

-15

-8.8

117

0.1067297

Maryland 1

Harris

0

10

15

15

15

11

2

0.9400432

Maryland 6

Delany

Bartlett

0

-2

-10

-10

-10

-6.4

109

0.1827839

Massachusetts 10

Keating

0

-5

-15

-15

-15

-10

129

0.0787161

Massachusetts 6

Tierney

0

-7

-5

-5

-10

-5.4

103

0.2226033

Missouri 2

Akin

0

5

15

15

15

10

11

0.9212839

Michigan 1

McDowell

Benishek

0

3

0

5

5

2.6

66

0.6434059

Michigan 3

Amash

0

6

10

10

15

8.2

36

0.8768297

Michigan 7

Walberg

0

1

15

15

15

9.2

25

0.9033125

Michigan 11

McCotter

0

1

10

5

15

6.2

50

0.8096294

Minnesota 1

Walz

0

1

-15

-15

-15

-8.8

117

0.1067297

Minnesota 2

Kline

0

1

10

10

15

7.2

41

0.845639

Minnesota 3

Paulsen

0

0

15

15

15

9

27

0.8983817

Minnesota 6

Bachman

0

8

10

15

15

9.6

17

0.9126428

Minnesota 8

Cravaack

0

-3

0

0

-5

-1.6

84

0.4105223

Minnesota 7

Peterson

0

5

-15

-15

-15

-8

115

0.1290258

Montana 1

Gillan

Daines

6

7

10

5

10

7

44

0.8388231

New Jersey 3

Adler

Runyan

0

2

5

10

10

5.4

52

0.7773967

New Jersey 5

Garrett

0

7

15

15

15

10.4

6

0.9292612

New Jersey 6

Pallone

0

-8

-15

-15

-15

-10.6

133

0.0669905

New Jersey 7

Lance

0

3

15

15

15

9.6

17

0.9126428

New Jersey 8

Pascrell

0

-10

-15

-15

-15

-11

134

0.0599568

New York 2

King

0

-1

15

15

15

8.8

28

0.8932703

New York 3

Israel

0

-5

-15

-15

-15

-10

129

0.0787161

New York 1

Bishop

Altschuler

0

0

-5

-5

-5

-3

88

0.3357362

New York 4

McCarthy

0

-3

-15

-15

-15

-9.6

125

0.0873572

New York 11

Murphy

Grimm

15

5

5

10

10

7.5

40

0.8555006

New York 18

Maloney

Hayworth

0

2

0

0

5

1.4

73

0.5784487

New York 19

Schreiban

Gibson

0

-1

0

0

-5

-1.2

81

0.4326422

New York 22

Hanna

0

3

10

5

15

6.6

47

0.8246112

New York 21

Owens

Doheny

0

1

-5

-5

-5

-2.8

87

0.3461068

New York 24

Maffei

Buerkle

0

-4

-5

-5

-5

-3.8

99

0.2955547

New York 25

Slaughter

Brooks

0

-5

-5

-5

-10

-5

102

0.2398205

New York 23

Reed

0

3

10

15

15

8.6

30

0.8879759

New York 27

Hochul

Collins

0

7

0

0

-5

0.4

76

0.5225483

Nebraska 2

Terry

0

6

15

15

15

10.2

7

0.9253538

New Hampshire 1

Shea-Porter

Guinta

-4

0

5

0

5

1.6

71

0.5894777

New Hampshire 2

Kuster

Bass

0

-3

0

0

-5

-1.6

84

0.4105223

New Mexico 1

Heinrich

0

-5

-15

-10

-15

-9

119

0.1016183

Nevada 2

Amodei

0

5

15

15

15

10

11

0.9212839

Nevada 3

Oceguera

Heck

0

0

0

0

5

1

74

0.5562136

Nevada 4

Horsford

Tarkkanian

6

-2

-10

-10

-10

-5.8

105

0.2061135

North Carolina 2

Ellmers

0

2

15

15

15

9.4

22

0.9080653

North Carolina 7

McIntyre

Rouzer

0

11

0

5

5

4.2

56

0.7236702

North Carolina 8

Kissell

Hudson

0

12

5

5

10

6.4

49

0.8172161

North Carolina 11

Rogers

Meadows

0

13

10

10

10

8.6

30

0.8879759

North Carolina 13

Malone

Holding

0

10

10

15

15

10

11

0.9212839

North Dakota 1

Heitkamp

Berg

3

10

10

10

15

9.3

24

0.905711

Ohio 6

Wilson

Johnson

0

5

5

5

5

4

57

0.7141346

Ohio 7

Healey-Abrams

Gibbs

0

4

10

10

10

6.8

45

0.8318137

Ohio 16

Sutton

Renacci

-3

4

0

0

5

1.5

72

0.5839715

Oklahoma 2

Boren

0

14

5

5

10

6.8

45

0.8318137

Oregon 1

Wu

0

-5

-15

-15

-15

-10

129

0.0787161

Oregon 5

Schrader

0

0

-15

-15

-15

-9

119

0.1016183

Pennsylvania 3

Kelly

0

3

15

15

15

9.6

17

0.9126428

Pennsylvania 4

Altmire

0

6

-15

-15

-15

-7.8

112

0.1350715

Pennsylvania 6

Gerlach

0

1

10

10

15

7.2

41

0.845639

Pennsylvania 7

Meehan

0

1

10

10

15

7.2

41

0.845639

Pennsylvania 8

Boockvar

Fitzpatrick

0

-1

5

5

5

2.8

64

0.6538932

Pennsylvania 12

Critz

Rothfus

-8

6

0

0

-5

-0.6

80

0.4662

Pennsylvania 11

Barletta

0

6

15

15

15

10.2

7

0.9253538

Pennsylvania 15

Dent

0

2

15

15

15

9.4

22

0.9080653

Pennsylvania 18

Murphy

0

6

10

15

15

9.2

25

0.9033125

Pennsylvania 17

Holden

0

6

-15

-15

-15

-7.8

112

0.1350715

South Carolina 7

0

6

15

15

15

10.2

7

0.9253538

South Dakota 1

Noem

0

10

15

15

15

11

2

0.9400432

Tennessee 5

Cooper

0

-3

-15

-15

-15

-9.6

125

0.0873572

Rhode Island 1

Cicilline

0

-13

0

0

-5

-3.6

94

0.3053923

Texas 10

McCaul

0

8

15

15

15

10.6

5

0.9330095

Texas 14

Paul

0

8

10

15

15

9.6

17

0.9126428

Texas 23

Canseco

0

6

0

0

5

2.2

67

0.6221101

Texas 34

0

-3

-15

-15

-15

-9.6

125

0.0873572

Texas 35

0

0

-15

-15

-15

-9

119

0.1016183

Utah 4

Matheson

Love

-15

13

0

0

-5

0.1

78

0.5056399

Virginia 2

Hirschbiel

Rigell

0

5

5

5

5

4

57

0.7141346

Virginia 11

Connolly

0

-2

-15

-15

-15

-9.4

124

0.0919347

Washington 1

Inslee

0

-3

-5

-5

-5

-3.6

94

0.3053923

Washington 6

0

-5

-10

-15

-15

-9

119

0.1016183

Washington 2

Larsen

0

0

-15

-15

-15

-9

119

0.1016183

Washington 3

Buetler

0

-1

15

15

15

8.8

28

0.8932703

Washington 10

0

-5

-15

-15

-15

-10

129

0.0787161

West Virginia 1

McKinley

0

9

15

15

15

10.8

4

0.9366022

West Virginia 3

Rahall

0

6

-10

-10

-15

-5.8

105

0.2061135

Wisconsin 3

Kind

0

-4

-15

-15

-15

-9.8

128

0.0829521

Wisconsin 7

Kreitlow

Duffy

0

0

5

5

5

3

63

0.6642638

Wisconsin 8

Wall

Ribble

0

2

5

5

5

3.4

62

0.6846275