Sunday, April 12, 2020

Covid 19 Data Anomalies.

I am a math guy and love data. I review Covid 19 data every day looking for anomalies. For instance, it is not very difficult to determine that countries such as China and Iran are not being truthful about their reporting. But the most interesting country to pay attention to is Japan because they have a very low death rate. The reason for this needs to be understood, but it is unsurprising that the Japanese have the highest life expediencies than any other country in the world. Of course, Italians have a high life expectancy but their mortality rate from Covid 19 was the highest in the world. Both Italy and Japan also have very high median ages which would suggest that both should have a very high death rate since Covid 19 adversely affects the older population.

In the United States, only one state with more than 500 cases has a death rate under 1% and it did not surprise me in the least. Utah has a death rate of about 0.8% and the reason for this is simple. Mormons are the healthiest white population in the country living anywhere from 5 to 10 years longer than the rest of the white population in the United States. Utah is 62% Mormon and those strict practicing Mormons do not drink alcohol, smoke, drink coffee, and generally eat very healthy diets. Thus, it is easy to assume they have stronger immune systems than the average person. This is why men have a higher mortality than women from Covid 19. Women have the stronger immune systems than men and this is why women are more susceptible to autoimmune disease.

Another anomaly is that the death rate is much higher in areas with more cases. This has to be analyzed because this may be corrected if it is because hospitals and staff and be overloaded.

The biggest anomaly that has to be looked at is why Covid 19 virus spread follows a very predictable pattern in every country including those with strict quarantine and those that are moving forward without any restrictions. This pattern was found in one Israeli paper, but he no explanation for the virus's behavior suggesting it could be related to the weather or it could be a unique characteristic of the virus.

Of course, everyone wants to make a big deal about how Covid 19 is killing more minorities. This is true, but it is not an anomaly because there are more cases in cities that are populated by minorities and because elderly minorities have lots of preexisting conditions that will make them more susceptible to die. This situation is not because of Trump, but because United States policies of government handouts has not only led to the segregation of minorities in cities (and Native Americans on reservations), but it leaves them poor with no prospects of finding work. This problem will unfortunately persist, especially as conservative and liberals both move further left to socialism. Liberals like to point to Jim Crow laws and slavery for the issue, but the truth is that no one alive today was directly effected by those atrocious laws. Maybe that is part of the decline of the African-American health system, but modern laws must be having a greater impact.

No comments:

Post a Comment